A good explanation in less than 10′ of a key construct for coping with turbulent “VUCA” environments: scenario development. Four phases are clearly outlined.
This construct itself is systematic, practical, and user-friendly, even in conflicted situations. In moving South Africa out of the apartheid era, for example, it was famously and successfully implemented.
This fine actionable explanation includes advice on selecting time frame and on using the PESTLE organizational macro-analysis to frame the work.
The video itself was created early in the COVID pandemic. The creator takes advantage of this by showing how scenario development can help cope with the complex and difficult future(s) that we are in.
Finally, some of the visuals here are worked out on an infinite canvas platform (probably Mural®). This sort of platform would seem to have a lot of potential value for scenario development, especially by dispersed groups.